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TOKYO -- Japan, long known for its smoker-friendly
policies, is debating a substantial tax increase that could bring Tokyo in line
with the U.S. and Europe.
The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's annual tax
commission is expected to review a proposal by key lawmakers that could more
than triple the retail price of a pack of cigarettes to about $10.
The backers of the higher tax are looking at the
additional revenue as a way to cut Japan's ballooning budget deficit without
taking the deeply unpopular move of raising its consumption tax.
Japan Tobacco Inc., which has a virtual monopoly on cigarettes here and is 50% owned
by the government, argues that more-expensive cigarettes would depress sales
and lead to lower tax revenue. The company, the world's third-largest tobacco
maker by volume after Altria
Group Inc. and British American Tobacco PLC, on Tuesday sent executives
to lobby the LDP against an increase.
"The government can't hope for increased tax
revenue, because such a big raise in the tax would mean consumption
plummets," JT Deputy President Ryoichi Yamada said afterwards. "It's
unfair that smokers should have to bear the burden" of poor government
finances.
Japan needs to boost government revenue to pay for
pensions for its rapidly aging population. Government debt was 849 trillion yen
($8 trillion) at the end of March, equal to more than 160% of the country's
gross domestic product. One measure put forward to meet the shortfall is
raising the 5% consumption tax. But consumers are sure to oppose that, and
Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda, already suffering from low approval ratings, has
been reluctant to push the idea.
Many in Japan's ruling party see higher tobacco
tax as a promising alternative. In mid-June, about 45 lawmakers formed a
bipartisan league to argue the case for higher taxes. One of its main advocates
is LDP heavyweight Hidenao Nakagawa, former chief cabinet secretary and an
opponent of raising the consumption tax.
The price of a cigarette pack in Japan is among
the lowest in the industrialized world. On average, a pack costs about 300 yen,
of which roughly 60% is tax. That is less than half of what a pack costs in New
York and less than a third of what it costs in the United Kingdom.
These lawmakers argue that raising the cigarette
tax would boost Japan's tax revenue from the product, which was around 2.2
trillion yen for the year ended March 2008. If cigarette consumption remains
unchanged, charging 1,000 yen a pack would increase cigarette-tax revenue by
8.5 trillion yen a year, according to Barclays Capital. But surveys show that
as many as three-quarters of smokers say they would try to quit if cigarettes
cost 1,000 yen a pack, though it's unclear how many would succeed.
Health proponents, including the country's
physicians and Health Ministry, say an increase in cigarette taxes would cut
down on health-care costs. Japan has one of the highest smoking rates in the
industrialized world, at around 40% for men and 10% for women. Lung cancer is a
leading killer among men.
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